Most political predictions are made by biased pollsters, pundits, orprognosticators who are either rooting for Republicans or Democrats. I amneither. I am a former Libertarian Vice Presidential nominee, and awell-known Vegas oddsmaker with one of the most accurate records ofpredicting political races.Neither Obama nor Romney are my horses in the race. I believe bothRepublicans and Democrats have destroyed the U.S.economy and brought us tothe edge of economic disaster. My vote will go to Libertarian Presidentialcandidate Gary Johnson in November, whom I believe has the most fiscallyconservative track record of any Governor in modern U.S. political history.Without the bold spending cuts of a Gary Johnson or Ron Paul, I don'tbelieve it's possible to turn around America.But as an oddsmaker with a pretty remarkable track record of pickingpolitical races, I play no favorites. I simply use common sense to call themas I see them. Back in late December I released my New Year's Predictions. Ipredicted back then-- before a single GOP primary had been held, with Romneytrailing for months to almost every GOP competitor from Rick Perry to HermanCain to Newt-- that Romney would easily rout his competition to win the GOPnomination by a landslide.I also predicted that the Presidential race between Obama and Romney wouldbe very close until election day. But that on election day Romney would winby a landslide similar to Reagan-Carter in 1980.Understanding history, today I am even more convinced of a resounding Romneyvictory-- 32 years ago at this moment in time, Reagan was losing by 9 pointsto Carter. Romney is right now running even in polls. So why do mostpollsters give Obama the edge?First, most pollsters are missing one ingredient-- common sense. Here is mygut instinct. Not one American who voted for McCain 4 years ago will switchto Obama. Not one in all the land. But many millions of people who voted foran unknown Obama 4 years ago are angry, disillusioned, turned off, or scaredabout the future. Voters know Obama now- and that is a bad harbinger.Now to an analysis of the voting blocks that matter in U.S.politics:*African American voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group.His endorsement of gay marriage has alienated many black church-goingChristians. He may get 88% of their vote instead of the 96% he got in 2008.This is not good news for Obama.*Hispanic voters. Obama has nowhere to go but down among this group.If Romney picks Rubio as his VP running-mate the GOP may pick up an extra10% to 15% of Hispanic voters (plus locksdown Florida). This is not goodnews for Obama.*Jewish voters. Obama has been weak in his support of Israel. Many Jewishvoters and big donors are angry and disappointed. I predict Obama's Jewishsupport drops from 78% in 2008 to the low 60s. This is not good news forObama.*Youth voters. Obama's biggest and most enthusiastic believers from 4 yearsago have graduated into a job market from hell. Young people aredisillusioned, frightened, and broke-- a bad combination. Their enthusiasmis long gone. Turnout will be much lower among young voters, as will actualvoting percentages. This is not good news for Obama.*Catholic voters. Obama won a majority of Catholics in 2008. That won'thappen again. Out of desperation to please women, Obama went to war with theCatholic Church over contraception. Now he is being sued by the CatholicChurch. Majority lost. This is not good news for Obama.*Small Business owners. Because I ran for Vice President last time around,and I'm a small businessman myself, I know literally thousands of smallbusiness owners. At least 40% of them in my circle of friends, fans andsupporters voted for Obama 4 years ago to "give someone different a chance."I warned them that he would pursue a war on capitalism and demonize anyonewho owned a business...that he'd support unions over the private sector in abig way...that he'd overwhelm the economy with spending and debt. My friendsdidn't listen. Four years later, I can't find one person in my circle ofsmall business owner friends voting for Obama. Not one. This is not goodnews for Obama.*Blue collar working class whites. Do I need to say a thing? White workingclass voters are about as happy with Obama as Boston Red Sox fans feel aboutthe New York Yankees. This is not good news for Obama.*Suburban moms. The issue isn't contraception.it's having a job to pay forcontraception. Obama's economy frightens these moms. They are worried aboutputting food on the table. They fear for their children's future. This isnot good news for Obama.*Military Veterans. McCain won this group by 10 points. Romney is winning by24 points. The more our military vets got to see of Obama, the more theydisliked him. This is not good news for Obama.Add it up. Is there one major group where Obama has gained since 2008?Will anyone in America wake up on election day saying, "I didn't vote forObama 4 years ago. But he's done such a fantastic job, I can't wait to votefor him today."Does anyone feel that a vote for Obama makes their job more secure?Forget the polls. My gut instincts as a Vegas oddsmaker and common sensesmall businessman tell me this will be a historic landslide and aworld-class repudiation of Obama's radical and risky socialist agenda. It'sReagan-Carter all over again.But I'll give Obama credit for one thing-- he is living proof thatfamiliarity breeds contempt.Wayne Allyn Root is a former Presidential candidate, the 2008 LibertarianVice Presidential nominee, and a Tea Party favorite.